Intensive Care in-hospital mortality prediction has various clinical applications. Neural prediction models, especially when capitalising on clinical notes, have been put forward as improvement on currently existing models. However, to be acceptable these models should be performant and transparent. This work studies different attention mechanisms for clinical neural prediction models in terms of their discrimination and calibration. Specifically, we investigate sparse attention as an alternative to dense attention weights in the task of in-hospital mortality prediction from clinical notes. We evaluate the attention mechanisms based on: i) local self-attention over words in a sentence, and ii) global self-attention with a transformer architecture across sentences. We demonstrate that the sparse mechanism approach outperforms the dense one for the local self-attention in terms of predictive performance with a publicly available dataset, and puts higher attention to prespecified relevant directive words. The performance at the sentence level, however, deteriorates as sentences including the influential directive words tend to be dropped all together.

Neural models, with their ability to provide novel representations, have shown promising results in prediction tasks in healthcare. However, patient demographics, medical technology, and quality of care change over time. This often leads to drop in the performance of neural models for prospective patients, especially in terms of their calibration. The deep kernel learning (DKL) framework may be robust to such changes as it combines neural models with Gaussian processes, which are aware of prediction uncertainty. Our hypothesis is that out-of-distribution test points will result in probabilities closer to the global mean and hence prevent overconfident predictions. This in turn, we hypothesise, will result in better calibration on prospective data. This paper investigates DKL's behaviour when facing a temporal shift, which was naturally introduced when an information system that feeds a cohort database was changed. We compare DKL's performance to that of a neural baseline based on recurrent neural networks. We show that DKL indeed produced superior calibrated predictions. We also confirm that the DKL's predictions were indeed less sharp. In addition, DKL's discrimination ability was even improved: its AUC was 0.746 (+- 0.014 std), compared to 0.739 (+- 0.028 std) for the baseline. The paper demonstrated the importance of including uncertainty in neural computing, especially for their prospective use.

Entity matching in Customer 360 is the task of determining if multiple records represent the same real world entity. Entities are typically people, organizations, locations, and events represented as attributed nodes in a graph, though they can also be represented as records in relational data. While probabilistic matching engines and artificial neural network models exist for this task, explaining entity matching has received less attention. In this demo, we present our Explainable Entity Matching (xEM) system and discuss the different AI/ML considerations that went into its implementation.

变压器已成为机器学习的重要主力，并具有许多应用。这需要开发可靠的方法来提高其透明度。已经提出了多种基于梯度信息的多种可解释性方法。我们表明，变压器中的梯度仅在本地反映该函数，因此无法可靠地确定输入特征对预测的贡献。我们将注意力头和分层确定为这种不可靠的解释的主要原因，并提出了通过这些层传播的一种更稳定的方式。我们的建议在理论上和经验上都显示出良好的LRP方法的适当扩展，以克服简单基于梯度的方法的缺乏，并实现先进的解释绩效在广泛的变压器模型和数据集上。

计算机视觉任务可以从估计突出物区域和这些对象区域之间的相互作用中受益。识别对象区域涉及利用预借鉴模型来执行对象检测，对象分割和/或对象姿势估计。但是，由于以下原因，在实践中不可行：1）预用模型的训练数据集的对象类别可能不会涵盖一般计算机视觉任务的所有对象类别，2）佩戴型模型训练数据集之间的域间隙并且目标任务的数据集可能会影响性能，3）预磨模模型中存在的偏差和方差可能泄漏到导致无意中偏置的目标模型的目标任务中。为了克服这些缺点，我们建议利用一系列视频帧捕获一组公共对象和它们之间的相互作用的公共基本原理，因此视频帧特征之间的共分割的概念可以用自动的能力装配模型专注于突出区域，以最终的方式提高潜在的任务的性能。在这方面，我们提出了一种称为“共分割激活模块”（COSAM）的通用模块，其可以被插入任何CNN，以促进基于CNN的任何CNN的概念在一系列视频帧特征中的关注。我们在三个基于视频的任务中展示Cosam的应用即1）基于视频的人Re-ID，2）视频字幕分类，并证明COSAM能够在视频帧中捕获突出区域，从而引导对于显着的性能改进以及可解释的关注图。